목 차 CONTENTS
I. 서론 ·······························································································1
1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·········································································1
1-1 연구의 배경 ·······················································································1
1-2 연구의 목적 ·························································································2
2. 연구의 내용 및 방법 ·········································································3
II. 방역체계에 대한 이론적 배경 ·······················································5
1. 개념 및 용어 정의 ·············································································5
1-1 코로나19와 팬데믹 ··············································································5
1-2 방역 및 방역체계 ·················································································6
2. 코로나19 팬데믹 개황 ·····································································10
2-1 코로나19 현황 ···················································································10
2-2 코로나19 대응 ···················································································13
3. 국내외 방역체계 변화 사례 ·····························································20
3-1 2015년 대한민국 메르스 유행 ··························································20
3-2 2009년 미국 신종플루 유행 ······························································25
3-3 2013-2016년 서아프리카 지역 에볼라 유행 ····································28
III. 제주의 감염병 관련 현황 ···························································32
1. 제주의 특성 ·····················································································32
1-1 제주의 자연·문화적 특성 ···································································32
1-2 제주의 인구사회적 특성 ·····································································34
2. 제주의 감염병 관련 현황 및 평가 ···················································38
2-1 제주의 보건의료자원 현황 ·································································38
2-2 제주의 코로나19 현황 및 대응 ·························································50
2-3 제주에 대한 감염병 관련 평가 ··························································67
IV. 제주-전국 감염병 확산 시계열 분석 ·········································74
1. 분석 배경 및 목적 ··········································································74
1-1 분석 배경 ··························································································74
1-2 분석 목적 ··························································································74
2. 감염병 데이터를 이용한 예측모형 구축 사례 ··································75
3. 데이터 개요 ·····················································································76
3-1 데이터 수집 방법 ···············································································76
3-2 변수 설명 ··························································································76
4. 분석 방법 ························································································77
5. 분석 결과 ························································································78
5-1 기초통계량 분석 ················································································78
5-2 단위근 검정 ·······················································································79
5-3 단기모형 분석 ··················································································84
5-4 장기모형 분석 ····················································································86
V. 제주형 新 방역체계 수립 방안 ···················································91
1. 제주형 신 방역체계 수립 방안 ························································91
1-1 공·항만 등 입도객 중심 검역 관리 강화 ···········································91
1-2 디지털 기술을 활용한 원격교육 및 자원공조시스템 구축 ··················93
1-3 제주 스마트 병상관리체계 도입 ·························································97
1-4 지역사회 중심 취약계층 교육·홍보체계 강화 ···································100
1-5 제주 감영병 확신 예측시스템 근거모형 수립 ··········································103
1-6 제주건강데이터 수집 분석 고도화 ··················106
1-7 보건의료인력 양성 및 전문 인력 확보를 위한 인센티브 지급 ····················109
1-8 감영병 관련 조직 지원 및 역량강화 ··································113
참고문헌 ···················································································116
Abstract ···························································122
부록 ·····························································124