목 차
Ⅰ. 서 론 ····································································································· 1
1. 연구의 필요성 ········································································································· 1
2. 연구의 목적 ············································································································· 2
3. 연구의 범위 및 방법 ····························································································· 3
4. 기존연구의 검토 ····································································································· 6
Ⅱ. 지역산업연관모형의 구조 ······························································· 14
1. 지역산업연관분석의 개요 ··················································································· 14
2. 지역산업연관표의 체계 ······················································································· 16
가. 산업연관표의 기본구조 ················································································· 16
나. 지역소득계정(Regional Income Accounts)과의 관계 ···························· 18
Ⅲ. 제주지역 산업연관모형의 작성 ····················································· 21
1. 전국산업연관표의 지역전환 ··············································································· 21
가. 지역기술계수 작성 방법 ··············································································· 22
나. 총효과․승수효과와 산업연관효과 ····························································· 37
2. 제주 산업연관모형 작성의 전제 ······································································· 43
가. 산업부문 분류 ································································································· 43
나. 제주산업연관모형 작성 절차 ······································································· 46
3. 제주 산업연관모형 작성 ····················································································· 47
가. 제주 기술계수의 작성 ··················································································· 47
나. 산업별 생산액 및 최종수요 추계 ······························································· 54
다. 취업 및 소득 ··································································································· 59
Ⅳ. 제주경제의 구조 및 산업연관 분석 ············································· 66
1. 제주지역의 경제구조 ··························································································· 66
가. 총공급과 총수요 ····························································································· 66
나. 산업구조 ··········································································································· 68
다. 투입구조 ··········································································································· 70
라. 중간수요와 최종수요구조 ············································································· 72
마. 제주도 산업의 유형 분류 ············································································· 75
바. 소득 및 취업 구조 ························································································· 77
2. 산업연관모형에 의한 경제적 효과 분석 ························································· 79
가. 생산유발 및 산출효과 ··················································································· 79
나. 취업유발 효과 ································································································· 82
다. 소득유발 효과 ································································································· 85
라. 산업연관효과 ··································································································· 88
Ⅴ. 제주도 전략산업의 종합분석 ························································· 92
1. 전략산업의 선택기준 ··························································································· 92
2. 제주지역 전략산업의 선택 ················································································· 95
가. 종합지수(Ⅰ)에 의한 선택 ············································································ 95
나. 종합지수(Ⅱ)에 의한 선택 ·········································································· 100
Ⅵ. 요약 및 결론 ··················································································· 104
참고 문헌 ································································································ 113
< 부 록 > ·························································································· 117